← Gamersshop Gaming Store Regionals PTM (5th Floor)
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Gamersshop Gaming Store Regionals PTM (5th Floor)
decks
4
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
5-12-4
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.5%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1065
· median 1064
· range 936–1196
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1176
Q3 1400
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
75% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.9% | 6 | 0-3-3 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 47.8% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.9% | -8.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.7 |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.2% | -11.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ciel | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
